Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization, concluded the week with a resilient performance, overcoming bearish forces and a series of unfavorable regulatory developments. Though BTC began the week with a promising outlook but encountered significant turbulence on Wednesday, eventually finding stability as news of First Republic Bank’s share collapse ignited concerns about a potential banking crisis in the United States. However, Bitcoin now faces intense volatility after failing to surge above the $30K mark, bringing concerns of a potential crash.
Bitcoin Trading Volume Flashes Bullish Signal
On-chain analytics firm Santiment’s data reveals that altcoins gradually lose interest as Bitcoin’s price dominance solidifies. The “trading volume” metric, which quantifies the daily total value (USD) of a cryptocurrency being exchanged on the blockchain, indicates this downward trend in altcoin interest.
The graph above illustrates a recent sharp increase in Bitcoin trading volume, coinciding with significant price volatility. The latest high volatility episode was particularly intense, resulting in trading volume levels that surpassed those observed in the previous month. The indicator recently peaked above the $30 billion mark, reaching its highest point since March 22, 2023.
Bob Baxley, CTO at Maverick Protocol, a permissionless derivatives protocol, thinks that Bitcoin’s recent performance signifies investor confidence in its ability to maintain its value, even in turbulent situations.
“Bitcoin and other crypto assets have evidently been acting as the safe haven many envisioned for this technology class,” he remarked.
Baxley highlighted that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major digital assets saw a surge in value just hours after First Republic’s shares experienced a nearly 50% drop.
The recent surge in Bitcoin’s value can be attributed to several factors, such as its capacity to hedge against inflation and its potential to address shortcomings in conventional banking systems. Paul Hickey from Bespoke noted that Bitcoin’s relative strength fluctuations usually align with shifts in the S&P 500 rather than foreshadowing stock market movements.
What Lies Ahead For BTC Price?
On April 26, Bitcoin exhibited a long-legged doji candlestick pattern, reflecting a state of indecision between bulls and bears regarding the upcoming market direction. This ambiguity was eventually resolved in favor of an upward trajectory, as the cryptocurrency closed above the 20-day exponential moving average at $28,869.
As of writing, BTC price trades at $29,230, declining over 0.1% in the last 24 hours. Bears are aiming to bring the price beneath the 20-day EMA while the bulls attempt to flip this level into a support area. If the bulls prevail, Bitcoin will seek to confront the overhead resistance region ranging from $31,000 to $32,200. A fierce contest between the bulls and the bears can be anticipated within this zone.
On the other hand, if the price declines and falls below the 20-day EMA, it signifies a shift in sentiment toward negativity, with traders opting to sell. In that case, Bitcoin will likely witness a free fall and test the $26.5K level.